

But fossil fuel prices can surge tremendously in a very short time.

Of course, oil and natural gas prices are way below those levels now. As a result, one Seeking Alpha columnist estimated that the company can come close to breaking even at $50 per barrel oil prices and $2.22 per BTU natural gas prices. It also hedged 30% of its natural gas production at $2.76 per BTU. Hedging for CHK StockĪs of February, Chesapeake hedged 72% of its oil production at a fixed price of $59.59 per barrel. Here are the four reasons why I think that the company, by the proverbial skin of its teeth, could avoid a bankruptcy or restructuring that would wipe out its shareholders. Given extremely low oil prices, those asset sales may not be viable.īut I do believe that Chesapeake still has a 20%-30% chance to survive without pushing CHK stock to zero.

In the wake of the plunge in oil prices, I’m much more bearish on CHK stock.
